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How are there 3 ranked underdogs today? The poll is clearly wrong then , Worst AP poll in years 🤦‍♂️
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Anonymous 3w

I think the poll is supposed to be based on how good their past resume is, betting line is intended to be more predictive of future performance. If ranked team A outgained unranked team B by 200 yards but lost by 3 due to a fluke fumble touchback or something, they’d drop in the poll but probably wouldn’t in the next week’s betting lines.

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 3w

Yeah but if a team has the same record as another team, how are they not ranked above if they are considered a better team, who’s expertise is more respected? The AP poll or the sportsbook? Just unusual to see so many ranked teams not be favored in their matchup against unranked teams

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 3w

Michigan has the same record as USC but is ranked 15 while USC isn’t ranked at all but expected to win, Arizona State has the same record as Utah & ranked 22 but expected to lose. They all have the same 4-1 record.

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Anonymous replying to -> OP 3w

That’s just what the AP poll is supposed to be in theory. In reality there are some aftereffects of the preseason poll that linger for a while. Michigan being ranked in the preseason poll but not Washington / USC / other teams is an example of this. The problem is just that voters behave the same way when AP rankings are based on nothing as they do in like week 12 instead of having more kneejerk reactions to wins/losses earlier on

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 3w

So I don’t disagree with you that the poll is bad, but imo even if it was good, there would still be some cases where a lower ranked team was favored.

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