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SP+ has Georgia as at least a touchdown favorite against every other team in CFB Good God
7 upvotes, 5 comments. Yik Yak image post by Anonymous in College Football. "SP+ has Georgia as at least a touchdown favorite against every other team in CFB Good God"
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Anonymous 1d

Sorry I only know so much abt football but why on earth would they be a td fave over bama ?

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 1d

The rating doesn’t really take into account head to head matchups. It just takes the teams offensive rating minus the defensive rating. In short, Georgia just has really good ratings lol

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 1d

Power ratings are the basis for gambling lines. Georgia, as a 31.3, would be around an 8.5 point favorite over Bama on a neutral field in this model, given that Bama is a 22.7. That’s the gist of it.

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Anonymous replying to -> OP 23h

That seems silly to me when they barely beat Alabama but whatever

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Anonymous replying to -> #1 22h

Part of the calculation for gambling lines involves implied Homefield advantage (usually about 3 points on a standard spread) Georgia beat Bama by 3 points at Bryant-Denny. That means they’d theoretically have covered 6 points on a neutral field. So it isn’t really silly in terms of power rating calculus.

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