True contenders: #2. Rizo: Gets a lot of solid game and personal content, always gets to explain himself, and seems to be a key player in what seems to be a dominant alliance. #1. Savannah: The only thing holding her back for me is that she's being shown as very rude and unhappy. However her complaints are also always shown to be right and she seems like an amazing player. This is 100% either going to be a Dee game or a Jesse game.

6

Probably safe to eliminate soon: #10. Kristina: The fact that she's even this high when she's gotten 0 confessionals in the past two episodes is wild but her Cirie-esque premiere has actually stuck with me. #9. Sage: Gets undercut a lot but at least she gets content and is aware she's on the bottom. #8. Jawan: Similar to Sage but was propped up for giving the tribe an advantage.

4

Not winning for less obvious reasons: #12. MC: Her being the other alternate has not been mentioned despite it being a headline and Jason getting content about it. Episode 2 was a questionable look for her. This episode was solid for her but her being so close to Steven kinda came out of nowhere. #11. Matt: Also undercut by MC in episode 2 and invisible this episode.

3

Clear decoys but I can't rank them any lower: #7. Steven: Has the best edit from his tribe by far, but the fact that the whole tribe is so underedited is still really bad for him. Again MC being his #1 came out of nowhere. #6. Alex: Shown to be outplayed by Sophi to an extent. His amount of content might be circumstantial. The fact we were led to think he might actually go home with the idol in his pocket probably isn't great either.

3

Not winning for obvious reasons: #14. Jason: He was just "the alternate" in the premiere, invisible in episode 2, and is now being portrayed as oblivious to the fact that any alliances exist. #13. Sophie: We barely know who she is. Her content in the first two episodes was a nothing burger and she was invisible in this one.

2

Unlikely winner for subtle reasons: #5. Shannon: Seemed to be in a great spot on her tribe but is most likely being set up to be outplayed by Savannah, who clocked her threat level right away and seems to be a blind spot for her.

2

In the running: #4. Nate: Very solid edit and in a strong alliance but I feel like the focus on his reaction to all the "vibe tribe" stuff comes off as unaware of how much of a hater Savannah is lmao. #3. Sophi: Gets a lot of great content but that would clearly be the case regardless if she were the winner. Meanwhile the Uli 4 has also gotten a lot of focus which doesn't seem nearly as circumstantial. We will see if her edit continues to be this strong.

2

I agree. Honestly I feel like we're getting nothing from anyone other than Sophi, Rizo, and Savannah

2