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US Politics 13h
Are these things usually accurate
17 upvotes, 10 comments. Yik Yak image post by Anonymous in US Politics. "Are these things usually accurate"
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10
upvote 17 downvote
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Anonymous 13h

It called the 2024 election pretty well. Tbh this is free money, unless something insane happens between now and Nov

upvote 7 downvote
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Anonymous 13h

In some senses yes, others no. It encapsulates what people with money think is going to happen pretty well, more accurately than pollsters I’d say. But it’s not gonna capture what the average person thinks well. In cases where it’s a statistically higher/lower turnout than expected or one side is more motivated to come out and vote it’ll be wrong. Unfortunately, I imagine there’s more conservatives shy about who they’re going to vote for than there are Dems/independents right now.

upvote 3 downvote
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Anonymous 13h

Well they add to 101% so

upvote 1 downvote
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Anonymous 13h

It’s pretty likely dems are gonna win the house

upvote 1 downvote
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Anonymous 11h

Girl get off polymarket

upvote 1 downvote
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Anonymous replying to -> #2 13h

Rounding up

upvote 1 downvote
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Anonymous replying to -> #3 13h

I don’t think it changes the outcome just the margins

upvote 3 downvote
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Anonymous replying to -> #4 13h

Free money. One of the more predictable election outcomes in our lifetime

upvote 8 downvote
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Anonymous replying to -> #3 12h

I thought the dems have been outperforming polling generally

upvote 3 downvote
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Anonymous replying to -> #5 11h

In some places by a lot, in some places they’re performing worse. It’s hard to tell in primaries they’re more a measure of voter engagement bc the ballots are limited to your party affiliation. Come the general election I think there’s a bigger portion of maga too embarrassed to admit they’re gonna still vote for ts

upvote 1 downvote