
As a big history nerd, nah not likely. West Africa and east Africa have had many successful empires, but the geography is very limiting in many ways. The Industrial Revolution only happened because of the global connections resulting from European colonialism. It was primarily started by English attempts to mass produce textiles to outcompete Indian production.
Like the simple reality is that without the global connectedness from the colonial era, the Industrial Revolution probably would not have happened when and where it did. East Africa had a large maritime trade network, and west Africa had the trans-Saharan trade. But that does not induce industrial development
I think that without European colonialism, (namely the beginning of Portuguese trade networks along the African coast) the Industrial Revolution would have occurred decades or centuries later, perhaps in the Islamic world or China. Africa would develop at a more equal pace. West Africa would probably grow slowly, and east Africa would develop, likely under heavy Arab-Swahili influence.
I suspect the Indian Ocean trade network would be the new center for industrial development. East Africa could perhaps be exploited under this regime or develop as a more equal trade partner. But you don’t get spontaneous industrialization. The Industrial Revolution happened at a very specific time and place due to the economics of colonial trade.
Seems like European wealth happened because of extraction. The Industrial Revolution happened BECAUSE of extraction, not European ingenuity. You also say africas networks weren’t enough…but weren’t those interrupted due to centuries of violence and theft? The trans Saharan trade network thrived before Europeans destroyed them. To me, these are just excuses for colonialism.
Oh I strongly believe that the Industrial Revolution did not happen due to any sort of European exceptionalism. Europe was just lucky (which made others suffer). It had a lot of right things happen to it at the right time. Sure, Europe had individually smart dudes which drove innovation, but I strongly believe that they didn’t have more than any other culture at any other period in earth’s history.
Most importantly, Europe had easy access to trade with the east. This allowed for access to Chinese, Indian, and Arab knowledge, which could be adopted and built upon. Without gunpowder, the printing press, alchemy, or had Ancient Greek and Roman knowledge been lost (no renaissance), Europe would not have had the technological advantage that allowed it to get the upper hand, or the ability to navigate so far.
Then so many things all happened right for Europe all at once. The renaissance occurs. Navigation improves. Mediterranean Arab crafts become Portuguese fishing vessels which become caravel ships which can travel long distances. Portugal sets off the age of exploration. Suddenly more than just trading for spices, Europe gains access to Mexican and Peruvian gold and silver, North American furs, Caribbean sugarcane.
They get the profits from plundering the smallpox-weakened Americas which eventually allows them to overtake their former trading partners in Asia, combined with a slight navigational and weapons advantage. I strongly believe this wasn’t due to European excellency or whatever. It was just right place, right time.
Now with regards to Africa, they did have trade networks. Some were weakened by early european colonial influence, some just continued, and entirely new ones were made. But the trans Saharan trade is different from the type of long-distance oceanic trade that enabled the Industrial Revolution. You can’t transport as much overland. And west Africa didn’t have access to the type of boats that allowed the Portuguese to travel so far.
Now east Africa was a different story. They had a thriving trade network connecting them to India and China, and many powerful rulers who initially negotiated with the Portuguese on equal footing. A lot of this trade was Arab-Swahili dominated and still exploitative though. A primary commodity was slaves to the Arab world, raided from the African interior.
So I think east Africa would be more likely to develop faster due to the maritime trade connections. But a lot of that was still politically dominated by Arabs. But in other areas the jungles, or the inaccessible coast, or the lack of good road systems and widespread horse adoption would slow development significantly.
Yeah that part about Europe isn’t wrong. But my entire point is that without colonialism I think Africa would have continued developing at a slow rate. I’m sure development would happen, but it wouldn’t be as rapid. And the more heavily developed polities in India, Asia, and the Arab world would still probably have an advantage over Africa, and use that exploitatively. There’s no industrial spark for Africa to exploit its mineral resources for its own benefit.
From an Africana studies class I took, the west African coast is very rough and that limited how big boats could be. They had canoes, but didn’t have the ability to work up to larger vessels that enabled longer exploration. The Portuguese only had their ships because the Mediterranean is calm and that allows for naval experimentation. West Africa doesn’t have a large calm sea.
Like it’s a situation where west Africa didn’t have that naval technology due to its location. It probably wouldn’t suddenly develop that technology in isolation if it didn’t develop it for the thousands of years prior. I guess that’s what I’m getting at here. We went millennia without an Industrial Revolution. It probably just would keep having not happened, at least until there was some driver for it in an area connected by heavy trade.
Europe had the alps, giant swamps, crazy winters and disease ridden environments. Geography didn’t stop them bc they had time to develop solutions. Africa never got that time because colonialism came and ruined it all. And to say that they would be dominated by Arabs is not true. Africans were equal with the Arabs and even the Portuguese centuries before colonialism took over. The SECOND Europe came with guns, that dynamic changed immediately.
I’m not trying to imply inferiority. At points african states certainly competed with and dominated Arab ones. Yemen was at one point ruled by Aksum. And that’s also not to say that the Arab influence didn’t include native Africans. The Swahili coast and all the states along it were a product of indigenous Africans merging with Arabs. But this was still coastal powerful states extracting gold and slaves from poorer interior peoples.
I mean, you’re proving the point. Aksum dominated Yemen. Swahili coast was a product of Africans merging with the Arabs and building powerful states. African kingdoms were extracting and trading gold across continents. Seems like a developing civilization that got violently interrupted. Yeah, i agree that coastal states extracted from interior ones but thats pretty much every civilization in history, including Europe. That how you form states. Difference is Europe got to continue developing…
You do still see though how a Swahili coast exploitation of the interior is still different from the anti-colonial afrofuturist images the initial posts invoked though right? I guess the main thing I’ve been trying to get across was that the rapid wealth accumulation, industrialization, and global colonial dominance of Europe is very unusual.